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From: Lance (opinion)
Date: 08 Aug 2003
Time: 21:33:28
Remote Name: 66.82.48.1
Well we are done with El Nino and ready for LA Nina right? Not so fast. After all this El Nino was not within the proper 9 year cycle right. Right, but why? Solar Activity, Solar Flares, Ionosphere thining, Global Warming? Hmmm? Very interesting my friends. We know that certain things can occur in any system this "events occur" situations or also called by non-scholarly gentlemen like me "Sh_T Happens" type events can be figured into a program, which takes into consideration multiple trends converging and gives each trend or event a value number or probabilty rating and thus many, many points of your data set can be figured to give you the answer you seek? Is such a system valid, can it predict weather? Yes, it can however the people who value such items are not always correct and weather to be adequately calculated must take into considerations such things a micro events or trends which can change weather patterns so slightly that they can eventually change the whole to such a large degree that the big event predicted will not occur at all. This is true and though we have had weather people and TV Media blow out of proportion storms for the simple fact they wanted higher ratings, it is possible that the best possible super computer may render irrelevent data based on faulty assumptions on valuations of mirco trends on the macro dominant trend. Luckily we are learning lots about weather and collecting so much data that the predictions are becoming better. But simple long term predictions of will there be another El Nino type year, where the Pacific ocean rises and heats up a few degrees above normal or weill we see the trade winds and the Pineapple Express render itself back to the normality of what we have come to expect over years of farmer's almanac studies and data collection? Here are some predictions on the question of El Nino - LA Nina cycle; http://www.dynapred.com/_Predictions/El-Nino/el-nino.html . The Internet as much as w love information contains a high degree of conjecture, opinion, junk science, un proven theories and garbage. If you study textbooks, it is the same, with little value of reality or any relevent perception of truth. Even books like "What your History Teacher Never told you" is half questionable. The last really strong LA Nina was in 95-96 after a completely facinating Storm Watch 93-94 El Nino. As any competent Naval Postgraduate Student or NOAA Research Professional will tell you the Atmosphere is extremely complicated. Question? For the proper LA Nina effect you will need cooling of the Pacific Ocean surface waters? So do you believe this will happen? Well if you are starting to see that CA coastline is the coolest area in the country at least this week, one could conclude that July - August Transition is telling us something, however even if you merely skim the USA Today Charts each day you will see this is only about a two-week trend and therefore of little value unless one takes into considerations of ambient temperatures in Hawaii, yet they are showing above normal heat much like the rest of the country. I personally feel that the hot Pacific Trend has not changed significantly yet. We are seeing some fierce Monsoon weather http://hydro.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp/GAME-T/doc/20030325_TMD/TMD030325_Matsumoto.ppt in Mexico and AZ, even into NV and CO, which is good for rain, bad for fires and lightening as it hits the higher elevations and the water is dropped in lower AZ plains yet the thunder and lightening clouds are still quite intense up into CO and Northern AZ. The Jet stream dipping as we hit fall is a good indication, but it appears to be too soon to see if the surface water temps will be low or high. For those of you that watch stock charts this maybe of value in the trend prediction, if in fact this trend still exists and is not altered by a more macro event such as Solar Activity or flairs at just the right time or man's intervention and the Kyoto Alarmists? ----- http://www.dynapred.com/_Predictions/El-Nino/Nino3-9805_Nino3-0304/nino3-9805_nino3-0304.html ------ I mean there are so many names and ideas for these things; http://www.dynapred.com/_Predictions/El-Nino/Nino3-9805_Nino3-0304/nino3-9805_nino3-0304.html and as you can see everyone is a self proclaimed expert and in certain markets watching charts can help you make a lot of money in the gambling casino or our supposedly capitalization of American Businesses Stock Markets. A lengthened and heavy Hurricane season which four out of five recognized climatologist prefer says that we will have activity which will spill over the central American nations into the the Pacific Regions and head up onto Baja, we have seen two so far heavy tropical storms. If you get significant activity and it pushes the Hurricanes into the Pacific late in the season keeping the jetstream and trade winds back then you will have a harder time telling if you can get a significant trend to cool waters fast enought to get a LA Nina, yet you still could get on if the Hurricane season lasts late and issues such as Volcanic Eruptions, Fires, Gulf War type calamities taint the sjies over the Pacific blocking ultraviolate rays and solar activity from warming the water to the moderate rates needed for normalcy. Whatever that is. Meaning trying to figure out the weather is harder than hell, in laymans terms, of which I is. Now we have talked about Hurricane season effecting LA Nina, but can El Nino effect Hurricane season? Yes obviously it is all connected and last time we checked pollution and wind and rain and Hurricanes did not have to go through a check point at any man made border or lines drawn in the sand fought over with life an limb by a surface dwelling species killing its own kind. Meaning of course the weather could care less what you call the country or ocean if flows over or rains upon. It is impartial in every sense of the word. Or so say the modern one God believer members of our race in this millinium. Still with all the data and trends and all the information collected by NASA and the NOAA, everyone claims that they do not know. No forward looking statements as the Chicago Merchantile manipulates trading based on even this friendly conversation on our website. Anything to move the market as the market makers become ingrained in predictions like the late Harry Fishbeck of LA TV or the Hippy Dippy Weatherman of the 60's and 70's dude? http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/enso/mlbnino.html . It appears the Sarbain OXley is at work as everyone is afraid to predict anything due to the weather lawyers>? Yep, they are looking for more avenues to sue the NEWS. And of course the Acedemia Elite continually predict and publish or perish while the trends change within the same week of the publishing? And sometimes these acedemia people get a little exotic in explaining why they do not know, well at least beyond the fluff and bull Sh_t they are honest; http://www.lawsofwisdom.com/LawsofWisdom/chapter6.html . You know for a guy who needs data to make decisions and take risks, I sure have a lot of debris in my way and none of which is caused by the Hurricanes. Think of this. We have to follow rules in car washing and have to deal with all this: http://www.parthe.net/_cwg0703/0000004b.htm Then we have these academia wonder kids grown insane show us calidascope pictures of randomness and say see. Thisis why we cannot predict the weather, and I am suppose to accept this and allow this mud to enter my brain? Why not throw the mud on the car and let us clean it? Well because the professor bless his sole drives a Bicycle to work a 1970s model, a Lance Armstrong he is not, with his basket and his papers in a file folder like the king of economics Greenspan. Meanwhile the professor somehow beleives he understands weather beacuse he is worried he might get rained on and that bicycle of his, a $20 garage sale item, might rust through. Actually he stole it from one of his students who was dumb enough to only lock the front wheel with quick release hubs and another student who locked the back wheel with quick release front hubs, of course this moron professor also teached ethics when he is not in the back boning an incoming freshmen. (guy or girl, they really don't care?). Please people give me a break. Just admit it, you don't know anything, you are all faking it. We do not need a bunch of hunch, fed to us like sack lunch. And as far as all the junk science, throw you old bike in it. there is more technology in the bicycles in the Tour de France than all these studies put together. Okay back to the subject, But seriously people can't anyone do any better than that? My Grandfather was 200 miles off the coast of NJ during the WWII before the invasion of Normandy calling in the weather to the likes of Churchill and General Dwight D Eisenhower. Surely we have come along better than that? Others agree the problem is emmense: http://atmos.msrc.sunysb.edu/npages/graduate.html and so are the calculations. Meanwhile the buoys used to measure temperatures of the water keep floating away and going AWOL from thier posts. http://www.unesco.org/bpi/science/content/press/anglo/9.htm So someone said well they maybe drigting but looky at all this great data we are getting>? No kidding people, please spare me the justification of a massive screw up. And thus every one says well there is nothing we can do: http://www.hollowplanets.com/hpch12.asp and http://www.unorg.com/a61.htm Now then people let me explain the only way in hell you are going to be able to predict weather. Either divide the altitudes with artificial boxes above the earth, then move beams of light, sound Xray through those grids and then time each of the times through each grid, they will slow by thicker air. And then send sound waves through the same which flow faster in thinner air, slower in thicker air and are affected by reletive headwind and sped up by tailwinds. Then each data set for each box will tell you what the micro box reading is doing and how it will effect the whole macro areas of larger boxes. Divide to conquer. Then you will have the data you need to predict the weather and this is the first step in controlling the weather. Once these facts are knowns and the trends studied, then you can adjust the weather as you see fit by bombarding laser beams or chemical laser beams into each other or by sending in ELF into the area or invisible boxes which have various winds aloft and clouds and barametric requirements neccessary already present to be adjusted and then folks it will not matter if youu have a Typhoon, Hurricane, Tornado, Snow Storm, Hail, Rain, El Nino, LA Nina, Micro Burst, Cumuli Nimbus, or drizzle. The way to control the weather therefore is to change temperatures in the cubic artificially outlined grids. If anyone is really serious about weather control or weather predictions, it will have to be modeled around this line of reasoning, since currently this is the only technology we have in existence in this present period. If we wait and weather the storm, pun intended, then we may have other possible solutions in the future. Email if questions: Lance@carwashguys.com
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