New Orleans Hurricane Risk, How Bad is it really?

From: American Cities for $200 Bob
Date: 09 Aug 2003
Time: 01:10:53
Remote Name: 66.82.48.1

Comments

The New Orleans area and the city itself is under extreme risk as we have seen and read. Are these people simply hyping the problem or is it real? Well, A direct hit of a mjor Hurricane is not only possible, it will happen, the question is will we be able to fix the problem or find a way to control or kill hurricanes beofre the big one hits? First let us look at New Orleans from a defensive standpoint. The city is sinking slightly. Liquifaction is a huge issue. Annually some 28 square miles of Mississippi River Marsh is erroding away. At this rate it is nearly an acre of land in 24 hours. This causes a problem because with tropical depressions and Hurricanes comes mean flooding like we saw with 2001 storm in Houston, imagine if that hit New Orleans and the Delta had no Marsh area to slow the flow of the increased water levels and river. The water would flow right into the lowest point and that is right into the city itself, like pouring water in a bowl. An Andrews style direct hit on New Orleans and add some Hurricane winds and New Orleans could be submerged by 20 feet of water, the sea wall did not fair well with the minor hurricane recently. If the water would have been higher or a more lingering strom and New Orleans would have been devastated and the 1 million inhabitants would be floating like ants on a log floating down the river into the Gulf, you could have 150,000 drown. That is serious isn't it? Why is this not a priority, we must protect people. Lets llok at the recent Hurricanes, not the old ones. Obviously a 1900 Galveston today in New Orleans would be most unfortunate. But in 1965 Betsy put part of the city under 8 feet of water. 1992 Andrews hurricane missed by about 100 Nautical Miles, that would have sunk the city no problem. In 1998 Hurricane Georges missed at last minute but dumped lots of water and still calls millions of dollars. Look at the Corpus Cristi Hurricane which disolved as it hit South TX and filled up the area? You know we really ought to pay attention. I heard a talk with the former editor of Omni Science Magazine in Columbia University's Observatory in Tucson at the Biosphere about this and in one of his non-fiction novels he incorporated what would happen if a large Hurricane hit New Orleans. The NY Times did studies on this and there is lots worries in New Orleans over these issues. Most of the plans for reinforcement include first and foremost good evaculation programs to prevent large numbers of loss of life, yet no one has started the absolute redesign and fxing of the long term issues. If you have any ideas, no matter how crazy, email me: Lance@carwashguys.com

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